Risk KAN Compound Events webinar – Cristina Deidda
November 23 @ 3:00 pm - 4:00 pm
Please join us for the next webinar from the Risk KAN Compound Events Working Group on Mon 23 Nov at 15:00 UTC (16:00 CET, 10:00 ET).
Presenter: Cristina Deidda (VU Brussel)
Title: Attributing recurrent and compound extremes to climate change: Why it matters
Zoom link: https://ucla.zoom.us/j/
Abstract:
The role of climate change in increasing the probability of single extreme events is now well established. However, climate change also influences compound and recurrent extremes, whose impacts can be amplified when events occur close in time or simultaneously. Despite their relevance, these events are still largely overlooked in attribution studies. We introduce a simple and flexible methodology to attribute compound and recurrent extremes using binary representations of hazards. Our results show that considering temporal dependencies between extremes can increase probability ratios and reveal impacts that may otherwise be underestimated. This work highlights the importance of moving toward multivariate attribution approaches to better support climate adaptation and policy decisions in a warming world.